SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
43.36% ( -0.33) | 28.16% ( 0.23) | 28.48% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.36% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.65% ( -0.75) | 60.35% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.5% ( -0.57) | 80.5% ( 0.58) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( -0.53) | 27.63% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.84% ( -0.68) | 63.16% ( 0.69) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( -0.33) | 37.33% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.89% ( -0.33) | 74.11% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.78% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.48% |
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