SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
37.86% ( -0.76) | 28.4% ( 0.22) | 33.74% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.17% ( -0.7) | 59.83% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.89% ( -0.54) | 80.11% ( 0.54) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( -0.8) | 30.5% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.28% ( -0.96) | 66.72% ( 0.96) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( 0.01) | 33.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% ( 0.01) | 69.75% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.85% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.74% |
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