SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Boston River |
29.53% ( -0.23) | 26.82% ( 0.06) | 43.64% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49.68% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.88% ( -0.33) | 55.12% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.63% ( -0.27) | 76.37% ( 0.28) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% ( -0.35) | 33.7% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.65% ( -0.38) | 70.35% ( 0.38) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( -0.06) | 25.07% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.24% ( -0.09) | 59.75% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.64% |
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