SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
31.58% ( 0.67) | 28.41% ( 0.13) | 40.01% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.78% ( -0.29) | 60.22% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.59% ( -0.22) | 80.41% ( 0.22) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% ( 0.34) | 34.88% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.39% ( 0.36) | 71.61% ( -0.35) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( -0.6) | 29.42% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.58% ( -0.74) | 65.42% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.57% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.55% Total : 40.01% |
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