SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 44.35%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
44.35% ( 0.47) | 28.78% ( -0.03) | 26.86% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 42.82% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.92% ( -0.1) | 63.07% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.48% ( -0.07) | 82.52% ( 0.07) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( 0.2) | 28.4% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( 0.26) | 64.15% ( -0.26) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.8% ( -0.44) | 40.2% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( -0.4) | 76.83% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 14.37% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.58% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.35% Total : 26.86% |
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