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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Defensor Sporting in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
28.65% ( -0.07) | 28.34% ( 0.06) | 43.01% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.96% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.1% ( -0.21) | 60.89% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.08% ( -0.16) | 80.91% ( 0.16) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.51% ( -0.17) | 37.48% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.73% ( -0.16) | 74.26% ( 0.16) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.92% ( -0.1) | 28.07% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.26% ( -0.12) | 63.74% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.72% Total : 28.64% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.33% | 0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 43% |
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