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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 37%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.48%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
33.57% ( -0.08) | 29.43% ( 0.04) | 37% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.57% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.65% ( -0.12) | 63.35% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.28% ( -0.09) | 82.72% ( 0.09) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.87% ( -0.12) | 35.13% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.12% ( -0.13) | 71.88% ( 0.13) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( -0.04) | 32.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.6% ( -0.04) | 69.4% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 33.56% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.42% | 0-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.99% |
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