SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
46.62% ( 0.1) | 26.09% ( -0.01) | 27.28% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.56% ( -0.01) | 53.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.04% ( -0.01) | 74.96% ( 0.01) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 0.04) | 22.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% ( 0.06) | 56.65% ( -0.06) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.45% ( -0.08) | 34.54% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.73% ( -0.08) | 71.26% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.28% |
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