SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | La Luz |
45.83% ( -2.79) | 27.22% ( 0.6) | 26.95% ( 2.19) |
| Both teams to score 47% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.2% ( -0.77) | 57.8% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.47% ( -0.61) | 78.53% ( 0.61) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( -1.66) | 25.18% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( -2.35) | 59.91% ( 2.35) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.82% ( 1.48) | 37.18% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.04% ( 1.44) | 73.96% ( -1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.62)2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.5)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.83% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.48)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.75% Total : 26.95% |
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