SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Bahia |
54.66% ( -0.05) | 24.07% ( -0.01) | 21.27% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.43% ( 0.1) | 50.57% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( 0.09) | 72.49% ( -0.09) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( 0.02) | 18.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.46% ( 0.03) | 49.54% ( -0.03) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.63% ( 0.12) | 38.37% ( -0.12) |
