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Brasileiro | Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
B

America Mineiro
3 - 2
Bahia

Silva (29'), Marques (38', 47')
Marlon (51'), Jori (76')
Henrique (62')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Stum (26' pen.), Ademir (57')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, November 30 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, November 29 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
America MineiroDrawBahia
35.81% (1.061 1.06) 24.51% (0.473 0.47) 39.67% (-1.532 -1.53)
Both teams to score 59.41% (-1.522 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.52% (-2.068 -2.07)43.48% (2.068 2.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.13% (-2.062 -2.06)65.87% (2.063 2.06)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (-0.373 -0.37)23.91% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (-0.537 -0.54)58.13% (0.537 0.54)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-1.61 -1.61)21.91% (1.61 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82% (-2.505 -2.51)55.18% (2.504 2.5)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 35.81%
    Bahia 39.67%
    Draw 24.51%
America MineiroDrawBahia
2-1 @ 8.14% (0.17 0.17)
1-0 @ 7.5% (0.585 0.59)
2-0 @ 5.36% (0.364 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.147 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 35.81%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.461 0.46)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.335 0.34)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.67%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, November 30 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-3 Flamengo
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-3 Coritiba
Wednesday, November 8 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, November 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-1 America Mineiro
Wednesday, November 1 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, November 29 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-5 Bahia
Saturday, November 25 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-3 Cuiaba
Thursday, November 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Bahia
Saturday, November 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Fluminense
Tuesday, October 31 at 10pm in Brasileiro


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