Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
0.3) 
-0.03) 
