Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.