SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Benfica |
37.99% ( 2.68) | 23.61% ( -0.81) | 38.4% ( -1.86) |
| Both teams to score 63% ( 3.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% ( 4.19) | 38.89% ( -4.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.79% ( 4.28) | 61.21% ( -4.28) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( 3.28) | 20.72% ( -3.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.66% ( 4.91) | 53.34% ( -4.91) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( 0.93) | 20.53% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.96% ( 1.45) | 53.03% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.65)2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.54)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.51)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.35)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.31)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.99% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.39)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.9)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -1.19)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.77)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.31)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.96% Total : 38.4% |
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