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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 1, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal
B

Braga
3 - 2
Benfica

Medeiros (28'), Horta (59'), Oliveira (79')
Ruiz (8'), Elmusrati (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nunez (74' pen.), Mario (77')
Vertonghen (26')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 1-2 Benfica

With their European commitments on the horizon, we expect both sides to take the game to each other in search of a morale-boosting result. However, looking at past results between the sides and their current form, Benfica are clear favourites to come away with the desired result and we predict they will do just that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawBenfica
39.08%25.74%35.18%
Both teams to score 55.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88%49.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81%71.19%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27%24.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72%59.27%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09%26.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76%62.24%
Score Analysis
    Braga 39.08%
    Benfica 35.18%
    Draw 25.73%
BragaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 3.97%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 39.08%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.65%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Braga
Sunday, March 20 at 8pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Braga
Thursday, March 17 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Braga 0-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, March 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Monaco
Thursday, March 10 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Braga
Saturday, March 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-0 Santa Clara
Monday, February 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Estoril
Sunday, March 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Ajax 0-1 Benfica
Tuesday, March 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Vizela
Friday, March 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, March 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Ajax
Wednesday, February 23 at 8pm in Champions League


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