SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
50.48% ( -0.25) | 23.83% ( 0.21) | 25.69% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% ( -0.88) | 45.17% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.49% ( -0.85) | 67.52% ( 0.85) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( -0.42) | 17.95% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.22% ( -0.74) | 48.78% ( 0.74) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( -0.43) | 31.42% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( -0.5) | 67.8% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.48% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 25.69% |
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