SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Braga |
20.64% ( -0.17) | 23.72% ( -0.13) | 55.65% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 50.48% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.14% ( 0.31) | 49.86% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.14% ( 0.28) | 71.86% ( -0.27) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.39% ( 0) | 38.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.64% ( -0) | 75.36% ( 0.01) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% ( 0.23) | 17.76% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.54% ( 0.39) | 48.46% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.64% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.24% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.5% Total : 55.64% |
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