Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.13) 
