SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
33.89% ( -0.28) | 26.85% ( 0.13) | 39.26% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.02% ( -0.55) | 53.97% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% ( -0.47) | 75.42% ( 0.47) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( -0.45) | 30.08% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.79% ( -0.55) | 66.21% ( 0.55) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( -0.17) | 26.86% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.83% ( -0.23) | 62.17% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.89% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.25% |
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