SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
21.93% ( -0.28) | 22.53% ( -0.05) | 55.53% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 56.14% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.75% ( -0.13) | 43.25% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.35% ( -0.13) | 65.65% ( 0.13) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( -0.33) | 33.6% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% ( -0.36) | 70.25% ( 0.36) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% ( 0.06) | 15.44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.71% ( 0.11) | 44.29% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 21.93% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.53% |
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