SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
30.96% ( -0.09) | 24.53% ( -0.02) | 44.52% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.79% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.08% ( 0.06) | 44.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% ( 0.06) | 67.28% ( -0.05) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( -0.03) | 27.5% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.99% ( -0.04) | 63.01% ( 0.04) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( 0.07) | 20.29% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.35% ( 0.12) | 52.66% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.96% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.52% |
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