SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | AC Milan |
48.81% ( -0.43) | 23.92% ( 0.11) | 27.26% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.63% ( -0.25) | 44.37% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.25% ( -0.24) | 66.74% ( 0.24) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( -0.27) | 18.29% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.64% ( -0.45) | 49.36% ( 0.45) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( 0.11) | 29.79% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% ( 0.13) | 65.87% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.2% Total : 27.26% |
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