SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.71%) and 3-1 (6.56%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Southampton |
53.89% ( 0.03) | 20.96% ( -0.01) | 25.15% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.88% ( 0.01) | 32.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.29% ( 0.01) | 53.7% ( -0.02) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.82% ( 0.01) | 12.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.18% ( 0.02) | 37.82% ( -0.03) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -0.01) | 24.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.56% ( -0.01) | 59.44% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.37% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 53.89% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.03% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 25.15% |
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