SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
36% ( 1.92) | 23.25% ( 0.43) | 40.75% ( -2.34) |
| Both teams to score 64.17% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.71% ( -1.68) | 37.29% ( 1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.5% ( -1.84) | 59.5% ( 1.84) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( 0.21) | 20.99% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.23% ( 0.33) | 53.76% ( -0.32) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -1.66) | 18.77% ( 1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.83% ( -2.86) | 50.17% ( 2.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.53)2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.87% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.27)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.2)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.56% Total : 40.75% |
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