SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Sunderland |
31.31% ( 0.19) | 24.97% ( -0.02) | 43.72% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.23% ( 0.18) | 46.77% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( 0.17) | 69.03% ( -0.17) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( 0.22) | 28.19% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.12% ( 0.27) | 63.88% ( -0.27) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% | 21.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.58% ( -0) | 54.42% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.72% |
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