Although Portsmouth will be targeting three points to aid their promotion bid, we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a Bristol Rovers side that are unbeaten in seven competitive home matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
-0.31) 
0.36) 
