Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
-0.2) 
0.34) 
