SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
35.87% ( 0.05) | 23.92% ( 0.15) | 40.21% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 61.62% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.39% ( -0.73) | 40.61% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.01% ( -0.75) | 62.99% ( 0.75) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% ( -0.31) | 22.56% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% ( -0.46) | 56.16% ( 0.46) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -0.4) | 20.42% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.14% ( -0.64) | 52.86% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 40.21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
