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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Rees (3')
Craven (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lloyd (38', 56')
Clarke (82')
Downey (90+5'), Downey (90+5')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Cardiff MU
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 28 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
48.56% (0.267 0.27) 22.33% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 29.11% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 64.53% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (0.143 0.14)35.57% (-0.145 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38% (0.16 0.16)57.62% (-0.161 -0.16)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.93% (0.146 0.15)15.07% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.42% (0.277 0.28)43.59% (-0.27699999999999 -0.28)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)24.02% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)58.29% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 48.56%
    Caernarfon Town 29.11%
    Draw 22.33%
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.11%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Cardiff MU
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Cardiff MU
Friday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 28 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Flint Town 1-2 Caernarfon
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-2 Briton Ferry
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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