SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 85.36%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (1.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
85.36% ( -1.18) | 9.27% ( 0.56) | 5.36% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( 2.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.71% ( 0.15) | 19.28% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 62.93% ( 0.22) | 37.06% ( -0.22) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.92% ( -0.13) | 3.08% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.2% ( -0.43) | 13.8% ( 0.43) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.51% ( 2.31) | 42.49% ( -2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.14% ( 1.91) | 78.85% ( -1.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 3-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.44) 4-0 @ 8% ( -0.48)2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.19)5-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.41)5-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.26)6-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.2)6-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.11)7-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.16)7-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)6-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 5.36% Total : 85.36% | 1-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.2% Total : 9.27% | 1-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.57% Total : 5.36% |
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