SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Newtown AFC has a probability of 31.18% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win is 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.38%).
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
44.42% ( 0.16) | 24.39% ( -0.03) | 31.18% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.8% ( 0.07) | 44.2% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.42% ( 0.07) | 66.58% ( -0.07) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( 0.1) | 20.04% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.75% ( 0.16) | 52.24% ( -0.15) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( -0.04) | 27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% ( -0.06) | 62.35% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.18% |
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