SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
44.59% ( 0.16) | 24.44% ( 0.02) | 30.97% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( -0.15) | 44.54% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% ( -0.14) | 66.91% ( 0.14) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( 0.02) | 20.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( 0.02) | 52.36% ( -0.01) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( -0.18) | 27.3% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( -0.24) | 62.75% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.59% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.97% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
