SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
31.45% ( 1.96) | 24.91% ( -0.02) | 43.64% ( -1.93) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( 1) | 46.44% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( 0.94) | 68.72% ( -0.94) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% ( 1.83) | 27.93% ( -1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.45% ( 2.27) | 63.55% ( -2.27) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% ( -0.45) | 21.31% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% ( -0.7) | 54.26% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.51)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.64% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
