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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
WH

Burnley
1 - 2
West Ham

Rodriguez (49' pen.)
Beyer (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Shea (86' og.), Soucek (90+1')
Alvarez (39'), Aguerd (39'), Coufal (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawWest Ham United
44.93% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 23.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 31.59% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 61.85% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.27% (-0.067 -0.07)39.73% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.91% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)62.08% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (0.012999999999991 0.01)18.02% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (0.019999999999996 0.02)48.9% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)24.56% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.96% (-0.131 -0.13)59.04% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 44.93%
    West Ham United 31.59%
    Draw 23.47%
BurnleyDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 44.93%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 3-0 Burnley
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-0 Burnley
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 West Ham
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 0-1 Everton
Sunday, October 29 at 1pm in Premier League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-1 West Ham
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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