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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
43.74% ( -0.29) | 26.63% ( 0.03) | 29.63% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.33% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.68% ( -0.01) | 54.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( -0.01) | 75.7% ( 0.01) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.15) | 24.66% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.81% ( -0.21) | 59.18% ( 0.21) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( 0.18) | 33.2% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.19% ( 0.2) | 69.81% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.63% |
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