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CL
La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
AL

Cadiz
1 - 0
Alaves

Fede (7')
Hernandez (67'), Sobrino (75'), Fali (84')
Escalante (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sedlar (48'), Duarte (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Levante 0-1 Alaves
Saturday, June 17 at 8pm in Segunda Division

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Alaves

There is not a huge difference when it comes to the quality of these two sides, and we are expecting them to be in a similar position in the table at the end of the season. This match has a draw written all over it, which both managers would likely take if it were offered ahead of kickoff on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 2-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match.

Result
CadizDrawAlaves
36.91% (-0.615 -0.62) 30.45% (0.305 0.31) 32.64% (0.311 0.31)
Both teams to score 40.82% (-0.717 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.41% (-0.877 -0.88)66.59% (0.878 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.01% (-0.601 -0.6)84.98% (0.60299999999999 0.6)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39% (-0.871 -0.87)34.61% (0.872 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67% (-0.936 -0.94)71.33% (0.937 0.94)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.42% (-0.26 -0.26)37.57% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.64% (-0.256 -0.26)74.35% (0.258 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 36.9%
    Alaves 32.63%
    Draw 30.44%
CadizDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 13.79% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.32% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.24% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 36.9%
1-1 @ 13.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 13% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.44%
0-1 @ 12.72% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.23% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 32.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Elche 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-0 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 24 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Valladolid
Friday, May 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Cadiz
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 5-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 3 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Levante 0-1 Alaves
Saturday, June 17 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 0-0 Levante
Sunday, June 11 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 2-0 Eibar
Thursday, June 8 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eibar 1-1 Alaves
Saturday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-0 Alaves
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 2-1 Malaga
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division


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