Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
-0) 
0.02) 
