Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	SPAL
37.46% ( 0.5)	27.86% ( 0.15)	34.68% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.21% (

-0.6)

57.79% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.48% (

-0.48)

78.52% (

0.48)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

0.01)

29.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21% (

0.01)

65.8% (

-0.01)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.52% (

-0.72)

31.48% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14% (

-0.85)

67.87% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 37.46%

SPAL 34.67%

Draw 27.86%

Sudtirol	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.46%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.67%