SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sudtirol | Draw | Cagliari |
35.23% ( -0.94) | 28.44% ( -0.53) | 36.34% ( 1.47) |
| Both teams to score 46.49% ( 1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.14% ( 1.86) | 59.86% ( -1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.87% ( 1.4) | 80.13% ( -1.4) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( 0.34) | 32.17% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.34% ( 0.39) | 68.66% ( -0.39) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( 1.91) | 31.46% ( -1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.16% ( 2.16) | 67.84% ( -2.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudtirol | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.72) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.73)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.23)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.34)0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.27)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.33% |
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