SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cameroon | Draw | Cape Verde |
63.23% ( 0.01) | 22.1% ( -0.01) | 14.67% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 44.2% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.65% ( 0.02) | 52.35% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.96% ( 0.02) | 74.04% ( -0.02) |
| Cameroon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( 0.01) | 16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.68% ( 0.02) | 45.32% ( -0.02) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.62% ( 0.01) | 47.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.23% ( 0.01) | 82.77% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cameroon | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 1-0 @ 13.89% 2-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 63.22% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.12% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.06% Total : 14.67% |
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