Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Argentina | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Canada | 3 | -1 | 4 |
3 | Chile | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Peru | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Panama had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Canada in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Canada.
Result | ||
Canada | Draw | Panama |
43.85% ( 0.57) | 24.65% ( 0.1) | 31.49% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.74% ( -0.7) | 45.26% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.4% ( -0.67) | 67.6% ( 0.67) |
Canada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.28% ( -0.03) | 20.73% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.66% ( -0.06) | 53.34% ( 0.06) |
Panama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.68% ( -0.76) | 27.32% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.23% ( -1) | 62.77% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
Canada | Draw | Panama |
2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.85% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.49% |
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