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Friendlies 1
Oct 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
PN

Canada
2 - 1
Panama

Larin (44'), David (87')
Eustaquio (35'), Choiniere (51'), Cornelius (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fajardo (69')
Ayarza (12'), Joel Barcenas (41'), Gondola (58'), Fajardo (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Canada
Wednesday, September 11 at 2am in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina359
2Canada3-14
3Chile3-12
4Peru3-31
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 2-0 Panama
Sunday, October 13 at 2am in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90

We said: Canada 2-0 Panama

Panama demonstrated during the recent Copa America that they are an improving outfit, but Canada can call upon the greater quality all over the field, and we are expecting a home success in Tuesday's friendly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Panama had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Canada in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Canada.

Result
CanadaDrawPanama
43.85% (0.567 0.57) 24.65% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 31.49% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (-0.695 -0.7)45.26% (0.698 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (-0.669 -0.67)67.6% (0.672 0.67)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)20.73% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.66% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)53.34% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (-0.76000000000001 -0.76)27.32% (0.764 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (-0.996 -1)62.77% (0.999 1)
Score Analysis
    Canada 43.85%
    Panama 31.49%
    Draw 24.65%
CanadaDrawPanama
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.254 0.25)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.85%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.168 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Canada
Wednesday, September 11 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-2 Canada
Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 2-2 Uruguay (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 14 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Wednesday, July 10 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Canada (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Canada 0-0 Chile
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: USA 2-0 Panama
Sunday, October 13 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 5-0 Panama
Saturday, July 6 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Bolivia 1-3 Panama
Tuesday, July 2 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Panama 2-1 USA
Thursday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Panama
Monday, June 24 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Paraguay
Sunday, June 16 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies


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