SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Crusaders |
17.24% ( 3.74) | 21.62% ( 1.58) | 61.14% ( -5.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.18% ( 3.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% ( 0.42) | 45.96% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( 0.4) | 68.26% ( -0.39) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.88% ( 5.34) | 40.12% ( -5.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.24% ( 4.54) | 76.77% ( -4.53) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% ( -1.47) | 14.54% ( 1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.43% ( -2.92) | 42.57% ( 2.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.94)2-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.59)3-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.44)3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.37)Other @ 1.99% Total : 17.24% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.74) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.7)Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.84) 0-2 @ 10.84% ( -1.46)1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 6.97% ( -1.38)1-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.89)1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.31)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.43)1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.58% Total : 61.13% |
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