SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 9-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
66.49% ( 6.79) | 20.2% ( -2.32) | 13.31% ( -4.48) |
| Both teams to score 46.39% ( -3.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( 1.39) | 47.47% ( -1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.32% ( 1.28) | 69.68% ( -1.28) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( 2.6) | 13.38% ( -2.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.7% ( 4.99) | 40.3% ( -5) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.56% ( -5.25) | 46.44% ( 5.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.94% ( -4.33) | 82.06% ( 4.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 12.56% ( 1.5) 1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 8.43% ( 1.66)3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.46)4-0 @ 4.24% ( 1.14)4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.5)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.57)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.3)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.67% Total : 66.47% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -1.11) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.66)Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.2% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -1.07) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -1.07)0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.76)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.46)Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.31% |
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