SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
55.48% ( -0.2) | 23.3% ( 0.13) | 21.22% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% ( -0.42) | 47.46% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( -0.39) | 69.68% ( 0.4) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( -0.22) | 16.95% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.96% ( -0.4) | 47.04% ( 0.41) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% ( -0.16) | 36.66% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.56% ( -0.16) | 73.45% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 55.47% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.22% |
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