SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Crusaders |
20.71% ( -0) | 21.81% ( -0) | 57.47% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.77% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.43% ( 0.02) | 41.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.03% ( 0.02) | 63.96% ( -0.02) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( 0.01) | 33.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.54% ( 0.01) | 70.46% ( -0.01) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.76% ( 0.01) | 14.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58% ( 0.02) | 42% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Crusaders |
| 2-1 @ 5.52% 1-0 @ 5.22% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 2% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.18% Total : 20.71% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.94% 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.14% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 57.47% |
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