SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 42.78%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
27.34% ( -0.09) | 29.87% ( 0.02) | 42.78% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 40.46% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.86% ( -0.09) | 66.14% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.32% ( -0.07) | 84.68% ( 0.06) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.46% ( -0.14) | 41.54% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.96% ( -0.12) | 78.03% ( 0.12) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( -0.01) | 30.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% ( -0.01) | 67.06% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 27.34% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.86% | 0-1 @ 15.06% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.23% Total : 42.77% |
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