SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for AVS had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | AVS |
41.32% ( -0.07) | 27.92% ( 0.04) | 30.76% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.29% ( -0.14) | 58.7% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.76% ( -0.11) | 79.24% ( 0.11) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( -0.1) | 27.95% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% ( -0.13) | 63.58% ( 0.13) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( -0.06) | 34.67% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.6% ( -0.06) | 71.4% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | AVS |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.76% |
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