Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Celje had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
