Celta may have lost their last two away matches, but they have taken maximum points from both of their home games, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to condemn Valladolid to their third defeat of the season.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.06) 
