This has all of the makings of a very interesting match; the two teams played out a 1-1 draw in the reverse clash last season, while Alaves won 3-0 on home soil. Celta have been victorious in five of their last seven league meetings, though, and we are backing the hosts to secure all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.
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