SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
50.09% ( 1.17) | 21.73% ( 0.11) | 28.17% ( -1.27) |
| Both teams to score 66.04% ( -1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.72% ( -1.43) | 33.28% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.95% ( -1.66) | 55.04% ( 1.66) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.27% ( -0.14) | 13.73% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.01% ( -0.28) | 40.99% ( 0.29) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( -1.5) | 23.45% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( -2.22) | 57.45% ( 2.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.87% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.17% |
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